Unusual image of trucks moving in front of 10 Downing Street / afp Liz Truss will be appointed UK Prime Minister on September 5 if she maintains her lead in the Conservative election / Reuters Boris Johnson took advantage of his vacation in Greece to get his official residence properties in London / afp

Liz Truss won the battle. Everything points to her appointment as Prime Minister of the United Kingdom on 5 September. The verdict is in favor of the 47-year-old foreign minister, married with two daughters, almost unanimous. Only his opponent in the Conservative primary, former finance minister Rishi Sunak, is thought to have sufficient influence among the party’s roughly 160,000 voting members. A former Indian banker, married and father of two daughters, he feels capable of surprising and being chosen to replace Boris Johnson at 10 Downing Street. This Saturday he received strong support from Michael Gove, Brexit mastermind and tireless ministerial reformer.

The gap between the two finalists narrowed by eight points this week, but Truss leads Sunak by 32 points in the latest YouGov poll of conservative supporters. 57% of those polled said they had already voted. The Conservative Home, a digital platform for grassroots party members, came to the same conclusion based on the latest consultation. The “continuum” candidate, backed by radical Eurosceptic factions and prominent MPs, is still in the lead with 60% support. Sunak is trailing at 28%, while 9% say they are undecided.

John Curtis, professor of politics and public opinion researcher, believes that only a “spectacular failure” of the circuit in the finals will make the race change. Right now, go to Sunak with a 5% chance of winning. Interestingly, according to YouGov, the ousted prime minister would have been easily re-elected if he had had the opportunity to compete with his two cabinet colleagues. In this scenario, 46% of members would vote for Johnson, 24% for Truss, and 23% for Sunak.

Moving trucks were spotted on Downing Street a few days ago, coinciding with the Johnson family holiday in Greece. The acting head of government may have cleared the residence and official office, but his influence on militancy and his hook among other party voters will weigh on his successor. According to another online poll by the same firm, published in The Times, the Labor Party, led by Keir Starmer, won 43% of the vote in favor of intent to vote, compared to 28% for the Conservatives.

Truss campaigned as a natural successor and a loyal minister who would vote against a parliamentary committee investigating whether Johnson lied to the House of Commons about the pandemic-linked parties that hastened his political downfall. The tax cut is focusing its economic agenda in the context of inflation and energy uncertainty, leading Gove to exclaim this morning that “many have taken a vacation from reality.”

Stopping in Belfast for a national round of debates with Conservative organisations, Truss vowed “as soon as possible” to process the controversial and likely illegal Northern Ireland Protocol Bill. The proposal gives British ministers carte blanche to cancel sections of the EU withdrawal agreement that trade union leaders and rank and file do not approve of. The favorite candidate assured a small audience in Northern Ireland that it would not capitulate on the “fundamental issues” of protecting British sovereignty and identity in the territory, even as London’s unilateral moves risk multiplying legal wrangling with Brussels and stumbling blocks to a trade deal with United States.

More relevant to the new Downing Street family will be the explosive combination of exorbitant energy costs and a 10.1% inflation rate that has yet to peak. Rising interest rates and the start of a long recession projected by the Bank of England at the end of the year form the context for the crisis that Johnson is leaving behind. Truss is constantly striving to reduce the tax burden on employees and companies as an engine of investment and economic growth. He had to go back to his Financial Times comment that he does not like government “handouts” and now does not exclude the possibility of helping the vulnerable and low-income segments of the population.

The alternative, as hundreds of NHS managers and doctors warn in a letter, is “the risk of a public health emergency.” Electricity and gas bills are expected to rise by more than 50% since October, and NGOs are warning that millions of families will fall into energy poverty. Without government help, experts say they will have to choose between heating their meals or their bedrooms, with inevitable consequences for the mental and physical health of children and adults. “The country is facing a humanitarian crisis,” warns Matthew Taylor, director of the NHS Confederation and coordinator of the letter sent to the Conservative government.

Source: El Correo

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