The example of Bashir Assad proves once again: Dictators fall quickly, writes soldier and politician Igor Lutsenko. Their power seems endless, and if you resist them to the end, dictators cannot stand it and their entire structure will collapse…
The first thing to consider in Assad’s fall is speed.
It’s like you have everything; army, police, prisons where hundreds of thousands of your enemies are located. There are foreign allies whose weapons, or rather their anger, intimidate everyone in this world, both the strong and the weak.
Your competitors don’t have it all.
They are a bit chaotic, disorganized and funny.
They are together by mistake. Your competitors have almost nothing; their weapons, the number of trained warriors and well-trained units, the cohesive political structures.
You know for sure that their allies, their foreign partners, are treating them like bait. You lie to your own people by saying that you are against a strong coalition, but you actually know that this coalition is incompetent and that many in it (almost everyone, in fact) are ready to sell themselves to you at the right time.
Your competitors have almost nothing. In addition to the determination to fight, which has deep roots stretching back centuries.
Looks like you can almost finish them off with a single blow. You have everything – divisions and regiments, punitive apparatus, bribed foreigners.
But at the right moment it turns out that the shell of your power is already empty inside. After a few days, your opponents win and you run away headfirst. Unexpected for everyone.
Analysts don’t have time to analyze how loudly and quickly your structure is collapsing. It turned out that the army was no longer capable of fighting, the police had evaporated and no one was guarding the prisons.
The only thing left is to find the keys in the box and open the way to a new life, a new order.
***
We’ve seen it all. How Yanukovych fell – unexpectedly, almost the night after he won, when his political rivals signed a capitulation and promised to withdraw from the streets.
From that moment on, I created a rule for myself: if you counter the attack, do not run randomly and maintain order, your opponent can outmaneuver himself. The main thing is to hold on, not to prepare a plan for surrender, but to hold on while the millstones of contradictions grind the enemy’s will from within and destroy the belief in achieving their goals.
The author expresses his personal opinion, which may not coincide with the position of the editors. The author is responsible for the data published in the “Opinions” section.
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Alfred Hart is an accomplished journalist known for his expert analysis and commentary on global affairs. He currently works as a writer at 24 news breaker, where he provides readers with in-depth coverage of the most pressing issues affecting the world today. With a keen insight and a deep understanding of international politics and economics, Alfred’s writing is a must-read for anyone seeking a deeper understanding of the world we live in.