Blogger Yuri Bogdanov says Prigozhin’s death clearly demonstrates his distrust of Putin’s system. This step also radicalizes anyone in Russia who may still decide to rebel.
Prigogine and Co. Let’s say a few more important things about it.
If Putin wanted to appear strong in this whole story, he had two choices:
- To drown Prigozhin’s rebellion in blood and kill him himself. Already then. In June.
- Arresting, prosecuting, holding a demonstration trial are indicative. Even when the conflict between Prigozhin and Shoigu was obvious, it did not turn into a riot.
For the first scenario, Putin did not have enough determination, he decided cunningly. Second, he either had no knowledge or truly believed that it was all nonsense and that the conflict would not go beyond hardware and information warfare.
There was also a lightweight option to protect the reputation. After the “agreements” on the safety of Prigozhin, it is foolish to drive him under the table with criminal cases and hide him in prison for 20 years. Like Navalny.
What happened yesterday is that Putin does not trust his system very much. And so Prigozhin was exponentially cleansed. If the system fears repetition rather than cheating and killing rather than overtly punishing it.
It has been cleared to intimidate potential successors on the way to confrontation in Putin’s inner circle. And this circle is getting smaller and smaller.
Two very important events took place after the Prigozhin revolt: the resignation of General Popov (who was deported to Syria), who complained about the lack of man and equipment while repelling the counterattack, and the arrest of Girkin, who criticized the authorities. Objective problems of the Russian army from the right positions. Even the resignation of Surovikin is not such a sign.
In other words, these two events showed that the core of the regime would not accept criticism even from those with similar views on the war, that the main criterion for approaching Putin would be extraordinary loyalty, and that Putin appeared on the scene politically and administratively. defense in a besieged fortress.
This is despite the fact that the dynamics of events on the front and the need for mobilization have forced Putin to significantly strengthen the power of governors and regional elites, and have already and indeed turned them into satraps in the classical sense of the word. So they can already form their own de facto private armies.
Thus, the murder of Prigozhin and his followers is, first of all, a narrowing of the means from the complex (trial, defamation, deprivation of influence) to the primitive. When you kill some and scare others. I hope it doesn’t explode. And at the same time you radicalize all possible future rebellions and also create “bookmarks” for them.
Therefore, the logic of “you die today, me tomorrow” continues to dominate strategic plans in Putin’s actions. And this is a good sign.
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Source: Focus
Alfred Hart is an accomplished journalist known for his expert analysis and commentary on global affairs. He currently works as a writer at 24 news breaker, where he provides readers with in-depth coverage of the most pressing issues affecting the world today. With a keen insight and a deep understanding of international politics and economics, Alfred’s writing is a must-read for anyone seeking a deeper understanding of the world we live in.